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Sat, 3 Oct, 2026Updated 10:20 am IST
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Japan Yield Surges 2.5 Basis Points

10-year bond yield hits 2.945%, a 3-decade high, as inflation worries and rate hike expectations drive selling pressure

Japan Yield Surges 2.5 Basis Points
Photo: Rafael Minguet Delgado / Pexels

Story timeline10 updates

  1. US Treasury yields surge after a $6 billion bond buyback, disappointing investors who expected a larger intervention.

  2. US Treasury yields surge after $6 billion bond buyback.

  3. US Treasury yields decline after Treasury Department announces plan to at least double buyback of 10-30 year bonds.

  4. Japan bond yields near 3% as inflation, fiscal worries mount

  5. Japan bond yields near 3% as inflation, fiscal worries mount

  6. Japan bond yields near 3% as inflation, fiscal worries mount

  7. Japan bond yields near 3% as inflation, fiscal worries mount

  8. Japan bond yields near 3% as inflation, fiscal worries mount

  9. US 30-year Treasury yield hits 5.33%, its highest since 2007.

  10. Story published. 10-year bond yield hits 2.945%, a 3-decade high, as inflation worries and rate hike expectations drive selling pressure

Japan's 10-year government bond yield has risen to a three-decade peak, driven by inflation worries and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan. The yield reached 2.945% in early trading, according to Reuters, its highest level since September 1996.

The rise in yields reflects renewed selling pressure in the government bond market, with global inflation concerns and domestic factors contributing to the increase. Global inflation concerns are driving bond yields higher, with higher oil prices and a lack of progress in Middle East peace talks heightening concerns over renewed inflationary pressures.

The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates at its September policy meeting, with some members of the BOJ policy board potentially supporting more aggressive tightening. This has pushed investors to demand greater returns on longer-dated Japanese government debt, contributing to the rise in benchmark yields.

## Why it matters The rise in Japanese bond yields comes amid a broader increase in global borrowing costs as investors reassess the inflation outlook. Higher energy costs could make it more difficult for major central banks to ease monetary policy, while investors are also watching the potential impact of elevated oil prices on economic growth and inflation expectations. The 10-year JGB yield’s move to levels last seen in 1996 highlights the growing pressure on Japan’s bond market as investors adjust to the prospect of a prolonged shift away from the country’s ultra-loose monetary policy.

Benchmark 10-year JGB futures fell 0.19 yen to 125.97 yen, reflecting the selling pressure in the government bond market. The rise in yields is a significant development, with the 10-year Japanese government bond yield rising 2.5 basis points to 2.945% in early trading.

The increase in bond yields is likely to have significant implications for Japan's economy and financial markets, as investors adjust to the prospect of higher interest rates and a shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy. As the Bank of Japan considers its next move, investors will be closely watching the impact of its decisions on the bond market and the broader economy.

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