Taliban Wins Russia Backing

Five years after seizing power in Afghanistan, the Taliban administration is steadily expanding pragmatic diplomatic, security, and trade ties with regional neighbours and Western governments, even as broad international recognition remains withheld over human rights concerns.

Russia stands as the only nation to have formally recognised the Taliban government. While Western countries continue to demand domestic human rights reforms before considering formal ties, practical issues such as migration, transit corridors, and counterterrorism are driving targeted international engagement.

Migration Talks and European Engagement

European nations have increasingly engaged with Kabul on practical matters. In June, a Taliban delegation travelled to Brussels for discussions with 15 European Union member states regarding the return of failed asylum-seekers.

In July, German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt announced that Germany had deported an Afghan national who had not been convicted of any crime, marking the first such deportation since the Taliban returned to power in 2021. Meanwhile, more than 37,000 Afghan nationals—including individuals who assisted German operations, at-risk activists, journalists, and their relatives—had arrived in Germany by June since the takeover.

Regional Trade and Economic Push

Regional engagement has moved rapidly, driven by economic and geographical realities. Officials from Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan gathered in Kabul to explore trade routes through Afghanistan that would provide landlocked Central Asian states access to the sea.

To counter international aid cuts and bolster its fragile economy, the Taliban administration has promoted cross-border infrastructure initiatives and expanded the domestic mining sector, attracting commercial interest from neighbouring China and other countries. Erica Gaston, head of the Conflict Prevention and Sustaining Peace Programme at the United Nations University Centre for Policy Research, noted that regional governments have adopted a pragmatic approach, viewing engagement as an inevitable regional reality.

Humanitarian Crisis and Security Friction

Despite increasing practical engagement, severe challenges persist across Afghanistan. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs estimates that approximately 21.9 million people—representing 45% of Afghanistan's population—are projected to require humanitarian assistance in 2026.

Security concerns also complicate diplomatic progress. A UN monitoring report found that the Afghan Taliban regime has continued its support for the banned Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), even after relocating roughly 2,000 militants and their dependants away from the border with Pakistan.